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    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Special Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    900 AM EST Mon Dec 5 2022

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
    for subtropical development this week over the central Atlantic.

    1. A large area of low pressure located over the central subtropical
    Atlantic about 750 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands
    is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some
    subtropical characteristics while it drifts northeastward during the
    next few days. By Thursday night or Friday, however, the low is
    expected to move over cooler waters, ending its chances of becoming
    a subtropical cyclone. Additional information on this system,
    including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued
    by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather
    Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 PM EST today or
    earlier.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    Forecaster Cangialosi/Pasch


Carte Windy

Carte cisaillement du vent

cisaillement du vent

Prévisions

Zone de formation probable

Zone de formation probable

Modèle GFS

Modèle ECMWF

Modèle CMC-GEM